Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday


	Ilia Simakin		Matthew Dellavedova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.85
	1.38	2.90	Watch
	1.40	3.06
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.38	3.00
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.35	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilia Simakin
68%

Matthew Dellavedova
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Matthew Dellavedova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ilia Simakin - Matthew Dellavedova Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dellavedova will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (1.77) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Simakin is ranked ATP: 275. Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 293.

Simakin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dellavedova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dellavedova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Simakin is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Ilia Simakin - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 68.76%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
31.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
09.08.26	Lucas Poullain - Ilia Simakin	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Ilia Simakin - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
31.08.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Matthew Dellavedova	Castelnuovo L. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Kuan-Shou Chen - Matthew Dellavedova	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Kristjan Tamm - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Tai Sach - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 ?LWWW

Ilia Simakin - Matthew Dellavedova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide