Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Fajing Sun		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.47
	2.76	1.5
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.78)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajing Sun
36.3%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fajing Sun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yasutaka Uchiyama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Fajing Sun - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sun will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Uchiyama will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sun is ranked ATP: 264. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 308.

Sun has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Uchiyama has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Uchiyama could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Fajing Sun - Masamichi Imamura	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Kaichi Uchida - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Fajing Sun - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Fajing Sun - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Fajing Sun - Chase Ferguson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Maximus Jones - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Zach Stephens - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Canceled ✺
10.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Cruz Hewitt - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.05.22	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Fajing Sun	2:0

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