Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10, clay - 1/8-finalsDate: 14 October 2026, Wednesday
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Fausto Tabacco |
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Marcel Zielinski |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 21.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Fausto Tabacco
58.9% | Marcel Zielinski
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fausto Tabacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Marcel Zielinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fausto Tabacco than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fausto Tabacco that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcel Zielinski than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcel Zielinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Tabacco is ranked ATP: 470., and Zielinski is ranked ATP: 582..In recent outings, Tabacco has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Zielinski has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).Zielinski could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tabacco holding a narrow advantage.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Tabacco has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Fausto Tabacco - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 06.11.25 | Marcel Zielinski - Fausto Tabacco | 2:0 |
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