Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Alexander Weis		Fausto Tabacco

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.90
	1.75	1.96	Watch
	1.7	1.7	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.74	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.64)	1.88 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
51.7%

Fausto Tabacco
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Weis's form might have worsened.

Fausto Tabacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fausto Tabacco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fausto Tabacco than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

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Preview

Weis is ranked ATP: 624., and Tabacco is ranked ATP: 470..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Tabacco may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Weis has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Alexander Weis - Mykyta Mashtakov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Filippo Mazzola - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Federico Iannaccone - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL
- Fausto Tabacco
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Fausto Tabacco - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Fausto Tabacco - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Fausto Tabacco	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Fausto Tabacco - Jack Anthrop	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.07.23	Alexander Weis - Fausto Tabacco	2:0

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