Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Monastir 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Federica Urgesi		Eva Guerrero Alvarez

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.72
	2.04	1.79
	4.53	1.15	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	1.99	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.25)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
38.9%

Eva Guerrero Alvarez
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Eva Guerrero Alvarez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eva Guerrero Alvarez than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Federica Urgesi - Eva Guerrero Alvarez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guerrero Alvarez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 438. Guerrero Alvarez is ranked WTA: 253.

Recent performances by Urgesi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guerrero Alvarez is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guerrero Alvarez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guerrero Alvarez will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Guerrero Alvarez will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Federica Urgesi - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.63%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Anastasia Efremova - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Federica Urgesi - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Federica Urgesi - Arianna Zucchini	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Mika Stojsavljevic - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Alisa Oktiabreva - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL
- Eva Guerrero Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Josy Daems - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Aliona Falei - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Noemi Basiletti	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Milana Zhabrailova - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Mara Guth - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW

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