Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Monastir 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Federica Urgesi		Aliona Falei

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	2.89	1.43
	4.71	1.14	Watch
	2.75	1.36
	2.81	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.38)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
28.8%

Aliona Falei
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Aliona Falei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Federica Urgesi - Aliona Falei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 438. Falei is ranked WTA: 300.

Recent performances by Urgesi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Falei is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Falei may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Falei is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
05.03.26	Federica Urgesi - Arianna Zucchini	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Mika Stojsavljevic - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Alisa Oktiabreva - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Abdel Aziz Lamis Alhussein - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Federica Urgesi - Xinxin Yao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWL
- Aliona Falei
ITF Tournaments
05.03.26	Adithya Karunaratne - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Abdel Aziz Lamis Alhussein - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Ayla Aksu - Aliona Falei	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Aliona Falei - Camilla Rosatello	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

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