Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Federica Urgesi		Miriam Bianca Bulgaru

	1	2
	1.30	3.40	Watch
	1.30	3.30
	1.30	3.30	Watch
	1.33	3.55
	1.3	3.26	Watch
	1.29	3.25
	1.31	3.44	Watch
	1.30	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 (1.3)	3.34 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
71.9%

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miriam Bianca Bulgaru than the current prediction. (+3%)

Federica Urgesi - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 274. Bulgaru is ranked WTA: 322.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Urgesi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Urgesi is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Urgesi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
05.09.26	Clara Burel - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Oceane Babel	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Federica Urgesi - Justina Mikulskyte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL
- Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Maria Golovina - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Bulgaru M. Retired ✺
26.08.26	Alina Yuneva - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Samira De Stefano - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Natalija Senic - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Carole Monnet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Federica Urgesi	1:2

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