Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Clara Burel		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.17	4.25
	1.16	4.5
	1.21	4.29
	1.18	4.26	Watch
	1.19	4.21
	1.18	4.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.36)	4.27 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clara Burel
78.3%

Federica Urgesi
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clara Burel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Clara Burel's performance.

Federica Urgesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federica Urgesi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clara Burel than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Clara Burel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federica Urgesi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Clara Burel - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Burel is ranked WTA: 416. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 274.

Burel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Urgesi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Burel is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Burel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clara Burel
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Emma Lene - Clara Burel	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Clara Burel - Justina Mikulskyte	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Sarah Van Emst - Clara Burel	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.26	Qinwen Zheng - Clara Burel	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Clara Burel - Yexin Ma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Oceane Babel	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Federica Urgesi - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Federica Urgesi - Justina Mikulskyte	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Dalila Jakupovic - Federica Urgesi	Jakupovic D. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.07.26	Clara Burel - Federica Urgesi	Burel C. Walkover

Clara Burel - Federica Urgesi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide