Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Federico Agustin Gomez		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	1.8	1.95
	2.1	1.7
	1.86	1.98
	1.88	1.94	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.28	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.28)	1.8 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Agustin Gomez
47.4%

Hugo Grenier
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Agustin Gomez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Agustin Gomez's performance.

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Grenier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Agustin Gomez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Grenier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Federico Agustin Gomez - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Gomez (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Grenier (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Users Predictions: Hugo Grenier will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gomez is ranked ATP: 206. Grenier is ranked ATP: 188.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Agustin Gomez - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.78%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Federico Cina	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Lukas Klein - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.07.25	Luka Pavlovic - Federico Agustin Gomez	Gomez F. A. retired ✺
14.07.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WW?WL
- Hugo Grenier
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Hugo Grenier - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Hugo Grenier - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Hugo Grenier - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Elias Ymer - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW

Federico Agustin Gomez - Hugo Grenier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide