Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Hugo Grenier		Moez Echargui

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.4
	1.56	2.37	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.59	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.8)	2.29 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier
59%

Moez Echargui
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Grenier's performance.

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moez Echargui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Grenier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moez Echargui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Hugo Grenier - Moez Echargui Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Hugo Grenier will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Grenier is ranked ATP: 192. Echargui is ranked ATP: 312.

Grenier is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Echargui is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Grenier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grenier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Elias Ymer - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Matias Soto - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Pedro Araujo - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	George Loffhagen - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Moez Echargui - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Moez Echargui - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Moez Echargui - Thomas Braithwaite	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Moez Echargui - Hugo Grenier	0:2

Hugo Grenier - Moez Echargui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide