Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Federico Agustin Gomez		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.42	1.58
	2.16	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.9)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Agustin Gomez
42%

Lukas Neumayer
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Agustin Gomez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Agustin Gomez's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Agustin Gomez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Federico Agustin Gomez - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gomez is ranked ATP: 208. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 177.

In recent matches, Gomez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Neumayer is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gomez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gomez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Agustin Gomez - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.06%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.94%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Emilio Nava - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLL
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Fabian Marozsan - Lukas Neumayer	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Oleg Prihodko - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Lukas Neumayer	0:2

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