Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.54	1.53
	2.51	1.50	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.46)	1.49 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
37.1%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Federico Arnaboldi - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guillen Meza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Alvaro Guillen Meza will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 361. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 248.

Arnaboldi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Guillen Meza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guillen Meza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guillen Meza could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Federico Arnaboldi - David Jorda Sanchis	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Coria	Canceled ✺
04.08.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
19.07.25	Vilius Gaubas - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 L?LLL
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
20.08.25	Marat Sharipov - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Luka Mikrut - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWW

Federico Arnaboldi - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide