Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Modena (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Chitgar A. (Aus)


	Federico Arnaboldi		Federico Gaio

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.68	2.21
	1.67	2.13
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.63	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.5)	2.16 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
56.9%

Federico Gaio
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Federico Gaio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Gaio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Gaio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Gaio will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Arnaboldi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gaio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
26.06.24	Federico Agustin Gomez - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	Moez Echargui - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
19.06.24	Federico Coria - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
18.06.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Federico Arnaboldi	Zapata Miralles B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWL?
- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
01.07.24	Federico Gaio - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
30.06.24	Federico Gaio - Alessandro Dragoni	2:0 ✺
27.06.24	Federico Gaio - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
26.06.24	Federico Gaio - Egor Gerasimov	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Gaio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide