Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Vilius Gaubas		Richard Gasquet

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.45	1.5
	2.55	1.46
	2.66	1.5
	2.67	1.5	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.35)	1.48 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
36.3%

Richard Gasquet
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Richard Gasquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Vilius Gaubas - Richard Gasquet Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Gasquet will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaubas: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 188. Gasquet is ranked ATP: 126.

Gaubas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gasquet is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gasquet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gasquet will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gaubas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Daniel Rincon - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.24	Vilius Gaubas - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
10.08.24	Andrew Paulson - Vilius Gaubas	Paulson A. retired ✺
09.08.24	Vilius Gaubas - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
08.08.24	Vilius Gaubas - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WW?WW
- Richard Gasquet
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Denis Kudla - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Richard Gasquet	2:1 ✺
23.07.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
16.07.24	Quentin Halys - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.24	Richard Gasquet - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.07.24	Vilius Gaubas - Richard Gasquet	2:1

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