Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday


	Federico Bondioli		Rudolf Molleker

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
			Watch
	2.16	1.68
			Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.14	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.31)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Bondioli
43.6%

Rudolf Molleker
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Rudolf Molleker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Bondioli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudolf Molleker than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rudolf Molleker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Federico Bondioli - Rudolf Molleker Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bondioli will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Molleker will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bondioli: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bondioli (votes: 2 - 40%). Molleker (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Molleker (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bondioli (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Molleker (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

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Preview

Bondioli is ranked ATP: 420. Molleker is ranked ATP: 363.

Bondioli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Molleker is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Molleker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Bondioli
ATP Challenger
22.06.25	Norbert Gombos - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Carlos Taberner - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
12.06.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWLW
- Rudolf Molleker
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Maxim Mrva - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Rudolf Molleker - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Rudolf Molleker - Juan Pablo Paz	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.06.25	Tiago Pereira - Rudolf Molleker	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Rudolf Molleker - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW

Federico Bondioli - Rudolf Molleker: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide