Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Federico Cina		Milos Karol

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.78	1.92
	1.8	2.04
	1.58	2.21	Watch
	1.77	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.58)	2.01 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Cina
53.5%

Milos Karol
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Cina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Federico Cina - Milos Karol Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cina will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Karol will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cina: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cina (votes: 1 - 50%). Karol (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cina is ranked ATP: 227. Karol is ranked ATP: 377.

Cina has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Karol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Milos Karol - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Cina
ATP Brussels
15.10.25	Federico Cina - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Federico Cina - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Federico Cina - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Martin Landaluce - Federico Cina	Canceled ✺
11.09.25	Federico Cina - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLL?L
- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Milos Karol - Charlie Robertson	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Milos Karol - Christian Sigsgaard	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Milos Karol - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Viktor Durasovic - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWL

Federico Cina - Milos Karol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide