Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Milos Karol		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.38	1.52	Watch
	2.58	1.52
	2.45	1.50	Watch
	2.42	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.25)	1.52 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milos Karol
38.4%

Matteo Martineau
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milos Karol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Milos Karol - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Karol will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Martineau will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martineau: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Martineau (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Martineau will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Martineau (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karol is ranked ATP: 363. Martineau is ranked ATP: 297.

Karol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Martineau is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Karol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martineau might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Martineau will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Karol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Milos Karol - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.63%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Viktor Durasovic - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Maxence Beauge - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Florian Broska - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWLW
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Alexis Galarneau - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Etienne Donnet	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.23	Milos Karol - Matteo Martineau	0:2

Milos Karol - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide