Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Milos Karol

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.25	3.55	Watch
	1.25	4.04
	1.16	4.66	Watch
	1.29	3.43	Watch
	1.17	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.19)	4.07 ↓ (4.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
76.8%

Milos Karol
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Milos Karol Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Karol will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 123. Karol is ranked ATP: 363.

Carreno Busta has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Karol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carreno Busta is the clear favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Petr Brunclik - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW
- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Viktor Durasovic - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Maxence Beauge - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Florian Broska - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Milos Karol - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL

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