Match Info

Date: 1 May 2021, Saturday


	Federico Coria		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.5
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.77	1.45
	2.5	1.5
	2.72	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 (2.6)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
36.2%

Alexei Popyrin
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Federico Coria - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Popyrin will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Coria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Popyrin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Popyrin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Munich
29.04.21	Federico Coria - Norbert Gombos	0:2 ✺
28.04.21	Federico Coria - Aslan Karatsev	Canceled ✺
26.04.21	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
ATP Belgrade
19.04.21	Nikola Milojevic - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.21	Thomas Fabbiano - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 L?WLL
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Munich
26.04.21	John Millman - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
ATP Belgrade
22.04.21	Alexei Popyrin - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
20.04.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.21	Alexei Popyrin - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
13.04.21	Alexei Popyrin - Pablo Andujar-Alba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
24.06.19	Alexei Popyrin - Federico Coria	2:0

Federico Coria - Alexei Popyrin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide