Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BASTAD (SWEDEN), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 21 July 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Federico Coria		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.9	1.26
	3.6	1.25
	3.88	1.3
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.78	1.27	Watch
	3.75	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.96)	1.28 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
25.5%

Francisco Cerundolo
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Coria's form might have worsened.

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francisco Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	0%	55%

Federico Coria - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coria won 3.

Recent matches Coria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerundolo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Coria won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Bastad
19.07.23	Federico Coria - Leo Borg	2:0 ✺
18.07.23	Sebastian Baez - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Daniel Masur - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.23	Ilya Ivashka - Federico Coria	3:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.06.23	Federico Coria - Nerman Fatic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLL
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Bastad
19.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Jiri Lehecka	0:3 ✺
05.07.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Nuno Borges	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
01.07.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
10.02.23	Federico Coria - Francisco Cerundolo	Cerundolo F. retired
ATP Challenger
27.11.21	Federico Coria - Francisco Cerundolo	Cerundolo F. retired
ATP Bastad
13.07.21	Federico Coria - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0
ATP Buenos Aires
02.03.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Federico Coria	2:0
ATP Cordoba
24.02.21	Federico Coria - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1
ATP Challenger
26.11.20	Federico Coria - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2
23.10.19	Federico Coria - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0

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