Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BASTAD (SWEDEN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 19 July 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Luca Van Assche		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.2	1.35
	3.05	1.36
	3.1	1.43
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.45	1.31	Watch
	3.1	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.38)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
30.1%

Francisco Cerundolo
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Luca Van Assche - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Van Assche is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cerundolo to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Bastad
17.07.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Aslan Karatsev	1:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
01.07.23	Jiri Lehecka - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
28.06.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
26.06.23	Luca Van Assche - George Loffhagen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Jiri Lehecka	0:3 ✺
05.07.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Nuno Borges	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
01.07.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
29.06.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW

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