Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GUAYAQUIL (ECUADOR), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Federico Coria		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.85	1.93
	1.82	1.85
	1.91	1.93
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.85	Watch
	1.9	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)	1.88 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
50.3%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.5%	0%	93.5%

Federico Coria - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Coria is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Varillas Patino-Samudio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Coria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
04.11.22	Federico Coria - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
03.11.22	Federico Coria - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
02.11.22	Federico Coria - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Federico Coria - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
28.10.22	Federico Coria - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
04.11.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
03.11.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
02.11.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
25.10.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gerald Melzer	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
11.03.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Coria	2:0
ATP Challenger
13.10.19	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Coria	2:1
05.10.19	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Coria	2:0
04.03.19	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Coria	2:1

Federico Coria - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide