Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LIMA 2 (PERU), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 November 2023, Thursday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.22	3.8
	1.2	4.2	Watch
	1.21	4.51
	1.22	4.51
	1.22	4
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)	4.27 ↑ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
78%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's performance.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varillas: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Reis Da Silva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Varillas Patino-Samudio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Varillas Patino-Samudio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
07.11.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
21.10.23	Filip Misolic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Filip Misolic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Canceled
ATP Antwerp
20.10.23	Arthur Fils - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLL?L
- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
07.11.23	Valentin Vacherot - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
06.11.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.10.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2

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