Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Germani A. (Ita)


	Federico Coria		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.52	2.4	Watch
	1.54	2.53
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.53	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.44)	2.49 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
62.3%

Vit Kopriva
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Vit Kopriva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vit Kopriva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Federico Coria - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Kopriva will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coria: 44.1% – 94.3%.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kopriva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Coria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Federico Coria - Luciano Darderi	Coria F. retired ✺
02.05.24	Francis Tiafoe - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
01.05.24	Fabio Fognini - Federico Coria	Fognini F. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Federico Coria - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Federico Coria - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?W?LW
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.24	Vit Kopriva - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.04.24	Vit Kopriva - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Vit Kopriva - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
30.03.24	Vit Kopriva - Duarte Vale	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.09.23	Vit Kopriva - Federico Coria	0:2
19.09.19	Vit Kopriva - Federico Coria	2:1

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