Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Sturmer T. (Bra)


	Federico Coria		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.68	1.51
	2.62	1.45	Watch
	2.6	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.09)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
36.5%

Luciano Darderi
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Coria's form might have worsened.

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Federico Coria - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Darderi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Francis Tiafoe - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
01.05.24	Fabio Fognini - Federico Coria	Fognini F. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Federico Coria - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Federico Coria - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
ATP Bucharest
19.04.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?LWL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
30.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
15.04.24	Luciano Darderi - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.09.22	Federico Coria - Luciano Darderi	0:2
24.06.22	Federico Coria - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired
23.11.21	Federico Coria - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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