Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)


	Francis Tiafoe		Federico Coria

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.59	2.38
	1.73	2.15
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.12	Watch
	1.65	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)	2.17 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
56.7%

Federico Coria
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Francis Tiafoe - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Coria will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tiafoe will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Madrid
27.04.24	Pedro Cachin - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
07.04.24	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Francis Tiafoe - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Jordan Thompson - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
04.04.24	James Duckworth - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW
- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Fabio Fognini - Federico Coria	Fognini F. retired ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Federico Coria - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Federico Coria - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
ATP Bucharest
19.04.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?LWLW

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