Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OLBIA (ITALY), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday


	Federico Gaio		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.74	1.44
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.78	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.61)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
34.7%

Harold Mayot
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Federico Gaio - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gaio will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Mayot will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaio: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mayot is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mayot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mayot will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gaio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
03.10.23	Constant Lestienne - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
04.09.23	Kalin Ivanovski - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Federico Gaio - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.23	Francisco Comesana - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
22.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Billy Harris - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
12.09.23	Harold Mayot - Benjamin Bonzi	Canceled ✺
06.09.23	Harold Mayot - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
05.09.23	Harold Mayot - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.10.22	Harold Mayot - Federico Gaio	2:0
ATP Metz
19.09.21	Harold Mayot - Federico Gaio	2:1

Federico Gaio - Harold Mayot: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide