Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Referee: Bueno Bermell E. (Esp)


	Federico Gaio		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.34	1.57
	2.34	1.58
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.54	Watch
	2.32	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.98)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
40%

Ignacio Buse
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Gaio's form might have worsened.

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Buse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Gaio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Gaio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Buse is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Buse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Buse will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
02.04.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
25.03.24	Blaise Bicknell - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Stefan Kozlov - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.24	Jurij Rodionov - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
02.04.24	Valentin Royer - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Ignacio Buse - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Felix Gill - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.03.24	Marko Topo - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Ignacio Buse - Zizou Bergs	✺

Federico Gaio - Ignacio Buse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide