Match Info

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Ignacio Buse		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.67	2.05
	1.72	2
	1.67	2.16
	1.67	2.16
	1.67	2.1
	1.7	2.07	Watch
	1.63	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.2)	2.09 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
55.5%

Lorenzo Giustino
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Giustino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ignacio Buse that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ignacio Buse - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: Ignacio Buse will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

Buse is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giustino in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Buse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Giustino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Giustino to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ITF Tournaments
29.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Hernan Casanova - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
26.03.24	Maxime Chazal - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Alexander Weis - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
29.03.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:1 ✺
28.03.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Jay Clarke - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

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