Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - 1/16-finalsDate: 7 October 2026, Wednesday
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Federico Iannaccone |
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Lorenzo Carboni |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.67 |
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2.05 |
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 |
1.68 |
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2.04 |
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 |
1.72 |
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1.98 |
Watch |
 |
1.7 |
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2.07 |
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1.68 |
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1.99 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.83) |
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2.03 ↑
(1.83) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 20.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Federico Iannaccone
54.5% | Lorenzo Carboni
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Federico Iannaccone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Iannaccone than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Iannaccone that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Iannaccone is ranked ATP: 587., and Carboni is ranked ATP: 562..In recent outings, Iannaccone has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).Carboni is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).Carboni may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days. The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Iannaccone has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Federico Iannaccone - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Lorenzo Carboni - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 10.03.26 | Lorenzo Carboni - Federico Iannaccone | 0:2 | | ITF Tournaments | | | 18.09.24 | Federico Iannaccone - Lorenzo Carboni | 0:2 |
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