Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Federico Iannaccone |
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Petr Nesterov |
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- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Federico Iannaccone
41.9% | Petr Nesterov
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Federico Iannaccone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Iannaccone's performance.Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petr Nesterov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Iannaccone than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+5%)Federico Iannaccone - Petr Nesterov Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Iannaccone is ranked ATP: 665. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 487.Iannaccone has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Nesterov is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Nesterov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Nesterov could have a small edge in this match. We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 1.49. The players have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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