Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Pavel Kotov		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	2.20	1.62	Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.28	1.60	Watch
	2.22	1.73
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	2.19	1.71
	2.20	1.60	Watch
	2.16	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.01)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
42.4%

Alexis Galarneau
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pavel Kotov - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 250. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 183.

Galarneau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Galarneau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Galarneau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kotov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.18%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Elias Ymer - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Pavel Kotov - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Leo Raquillet - Pavel Kotov	Kotov P. Retired ✺
16.06.26	Franco Ribero - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWL?W
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Linang Xiao - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Semen Pankin - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Keegan Smith - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
17.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Alexis Galarneau	2:1

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