Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves		Hernan Casanova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.20
	1.55	2.25
	1.65	2.36
	1.6	2.23	Watch
	1.63	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)	2.26 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
58.6%

Hernan Casanova
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Hernan Casanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Hernan Casanova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Meligeni is ranked ATP: 807. Casanova is ranked ATP: 409.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Meligeni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Meligeni could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Meligeni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.21%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
03.07.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
02.07.26	Valerio Aboian - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Fermin Tenti	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL
- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
03.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Hernan Casanova - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Hernan Casanova - Mario Andre Galarraga	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Valerio Aboian - Hernan Casanova	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Hernan Casanova - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.11.21	Hernan Casanova - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Hernan Casanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide