Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: FRENCH OPEN (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.75
	2.16	1.67
	1.98	1.77
	2.01	1.83
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.76	Watch
	1.98	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.39)	1.75 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
46.5%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's performance.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	0%	92.7%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (38 of 41 users predict this - 92.68%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.71% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barrios Vera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Meligeni Rodrigues Alves won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Tung-Lin Wu - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.05.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
18.05.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
17.05.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
16.05.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
16.05.23	Matteo Gigante - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Gigante M. retired ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Mattia Bellucci - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2
23.03.22	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2
20.03.21	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Meligeni Rodrigues Alves F. retired

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