Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TUNIS (TUNISIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday


	Matteo Gigante		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.6	1.47
	2.73	1.48
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.67	1.43	Watch
	2.33	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (1.99)	1.48 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
36.6%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Gigante's form might have worsened.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Gigante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.3%	0%	97.7%

Matteo Gigante - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera will win (43 of 44 users predict this - 97.73%).
Confidence interval (95%): 93.33% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gigante is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barrios Vera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barrios Vera will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.23	Franco Agamenone - Matteo Gigante	Gigante M. retired ✺
03.04.23	Miljan Zekic - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
27.03.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LL?WL
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Roma
09.05.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Mattia Bellucci - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.23	Sebastian Ofner - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
03.05.23	Vit Kopriva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
01.05.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW

Matteo Gigante - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide