Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TUNIS (TUNISIA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	4.5	1.18	Watch
	4.1	1.2
	4.1	1.22
	4.46	1.22
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	4.05	1.21	Watch
	3.35	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (2.76)	1.21 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
22.6%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sho Shimabukuro's form might have worsened.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Sho Shimabukuro - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimabukuro is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shimabukuro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barrios Vera is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2
16.05.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Matteo Gigante - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	Gigante M. retired ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Mattia Bellucci - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.23	Sebastian Ofner - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
03.05.23	Vit Kopriva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?LWLW

Sho Shimabukuro - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide