Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GUAYAQUIL (ECUADOR), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 2 November 2023, Thursday


	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.42	2.7
	1.44	2.86
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.34	3.06	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)	2.85 ↓ (2.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
67.2%

Max Houkes
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Meligeni will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Houkes will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houkes: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Houkes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
27.10.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Federico Delbonis - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Max Houkes - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Max Houkes - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Max Houkes - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.10.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Gabriele Pennaforti - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW

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