Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.67	2.2
	1.67	2.2
	1.76	2.2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.19	Watch
	1.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.58)	2.21 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
56.8%

Dusan Lajovic
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Lajovic will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lajovic: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Aliassime-Auger is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lajovic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Lajovic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aliassime-Auger will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aliassime-Auger won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Miami
27.03.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
14.03.23	Tommy Paul - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
13.03.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Madrid
27.04.23	Jason Kubler - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
23.04.23	Dusan Lajovic - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Dusan Lajovic - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
21.04.23	Novak Djokovic - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
20.04.23	Dusan Lajovic - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
11.08.21	Dusan Lajovic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Cup
09.01.20	Dusan Lajovic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0

Felix Aliassime-Auger - Dusan Lajovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide