Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Finals - Turin - Play Offs, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Slovakia	Markiza
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.15	5.2	Watch
	1.22	4.87
	1.20	4.52	Watch
	1.17	5.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↑ (1.18)	4.88 ↑ (4.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
80.4%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	0%	43.5%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 50%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Aliassime-Auger (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Aliassime-Auger (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 8.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 5.

Alcaraz Garfia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aliassime-Auger has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP World Tour Finals
13.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic	N/A
09.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WW?WL
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP World Tour Finals
14.11.25	Alexander Zverev - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Ben Shelton - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
02.11.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Olympic Games
02.08.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
02.06.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
16.03.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Basel
29.10.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
Davis Cup World Group
16.09.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2

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