Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CINCINNATI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 14 August 2023, Monday


	Matteo Berrettini		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.46	2.7
	1.45	2.7
	1.52	2.68
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.83	Watch
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)	2.71 ↑ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
65%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Berrettini's performance.

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felix Aliassime-Auger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.6%	0%	31.4%

Matteo Berrettini - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 53.2% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Berrettini is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aliassime-Auger is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Berrettini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Berrettini will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Matteo Berrettini - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
07.08.23	Gregoire Barrere - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
10.07.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Matteo Berrettini	3:1 ✺
08.07.23	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Berrettini	0:3 ✺
07.07.23	Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWW
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Toronto
08.08.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
02.08.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Michael Mmoh - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:1 ✺
03.07.23	Filip Krajinovic - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
29.06.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Laver Cup
24.09.22	Matteo Berrettini - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1
24.09.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Matteo Berrettini	1:2
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.21	Matteo Berrettini - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.21	Matteo Berrettini - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:1
ATP Stuttgart
16.06.19	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Matteo Berrettini	0:2

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