Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Christoph Negritu		Yaroslav Demin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.5	Watch
	1.32	3.53
	1.28	3.36	Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.26	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.61)	3.53 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
73.5%

Yaroslav Demin
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Christoph Negritu's performance.

Yaroslav Demin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yaroslav Demin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christoph Negritu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yaroslav Demin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Christoph Negritu - Yaroslav Demin Predictions

Users Predictions: Christoph Negritu will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 396. Demin is ranked ATP: 711.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Demin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Negritu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Christoph Negritu - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.31%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Yaroslav Demin - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.69%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Christoph Negritu - Nicolas Barrientos	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Ivan Gakhov - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW
- Yaroslav Demin
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Yaroslav Demin - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.03.26	Yaroslav Demin - Alex Marti Pujolras	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Yaroslav Demin - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Yaroslav Demin - Thijs Boogaard	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Yaroslav Demin - Hazem Naw	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW

Christoph Negritu - Yaroslav Demin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide