Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sarasota 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Filip Cristian Jianu		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.38)	1.96 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filip Cristian Jianu
52.6%

Mark Lajal
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Cristian Jianu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Filip Cristian Jianu's performance.

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mark Lajal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Cristian Jianu than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Filip Cristian Jianu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mark Lajal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Filip Cristian Jianu - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jianu will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Lajal will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jianu: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jianu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Jianu (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jianu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jianu is ranked ATP: 233. Lajal is ranked ATP: 200.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jianu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Cristian Jianu
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Facundo Mena - Filip Cristian Jianu	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Filip Cristian Jianu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWLW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Mark Lajal - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Mark Lajal - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.01.23	Filip Cristian Jianu - Mark Lajal	2:1

Filip Cristian Jianu - Mark Lajal