Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday


	Filip Peliwo		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.73	1.29
	3.34	1.30	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.39	1.29	Watch
	2.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.88)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filip Peliwo
27.6%

Sho Shimabukuro
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Peliwo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Peliwo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Filip Peliwo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Filip Peliwo - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimabukuro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Peliwo is ranked ATP: 535. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 198.

Peliwo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shimabukuro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shimabukuro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shimabukuro is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Peliwo
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.25	Koki Matsuda - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Niccolo Catini - Filip Peliwo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	James Watt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Moerani Bouzige - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 W?LLW

Filip Peliwo - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide