Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Filippo Mazzola		Lorenzo Bocchi

	1	2
	3.35	1.33
	3.09	1.31	Watch
	3.1	1.3
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.42)	1.32 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filippo Mazzola
29.5%

Lorenzo Bocchi
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filippo Mazzola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Filippo Mazzola's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Bocchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Bocchi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filippo Mazzola than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Filippo Mazzola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Bocchi than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Bocchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Filippo Mazzola - Lorenzo Bocchi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Bocchi (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bocchi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mazzola is ranked ATP: 1255. Bocchi is ranked ATP: 847.

Mazzola has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bocchi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mazzola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bocchi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bocchi will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filippo Mazzola
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Luca Wiedenmann - Filippo Mazzola	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Matteo Mesaglio - Filippo Mazzola	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Nicolas Tepmahc - Filippo Mazzola	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Filippo Mazzola - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Filippo Mazzola - Luca Parenti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL
- Lorenzo Bocchi
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Lorenzo Bocchi - Nino Ehrenschneider	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Lorenzo Bocchi - Pranav Karthik	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Lorenzo Bocchi - Andrea Motta	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Lorenzo Bocchi	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Michael Gloeckler - Lorenzo Bocchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW

Filippo Mazzola - Lorenzo Bocchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide