Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Filippo Moroni		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
			Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.44	1.57
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filippo Moroni
39.8%

Lorenzo Giustino
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filippo Moroni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filippo Moroni than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Filippo Moroni - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giustino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moroni is ranked ATP: 487. Giustino is ranked ATP: 220.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Moroni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Giustino might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Giustino will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.77%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filippo Moroni
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Filippo Moroni	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Filippo Moroni	Moroni F. retired ✺
25.10.25	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Federico Bondioli - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WW?WW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
07.11.25	Patrick Kypson - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Petr Brunclik	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWWW

Filippo Moroni - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide