Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florence, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Florence 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Filippo Romano		Yanaki Milev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.91	Watch
	1.89	1.86	Watch
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.81	1.90
	1.82	1.86	Watch
	1.81	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.53)	1.9 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filippo Romano
51.2%

Yanaki Milev
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filippo Romano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Filippo Romano's form might have worsened.

Yanaki Milev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yanaki Milev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filippo Romano than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanaki Milev than the current prediction. (-5%)

Filippo Romano - Yanaki Milev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Romano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Romano is ranked ATP: 301., and Milev is ranked ATP: 535..

In recent outings, Romano has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Milev is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Romano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Romano has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Yanaki Milev - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.92%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filippo Romano
ATP Challenger
20.10.26	Filippo Romano - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Andrej Nedic - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Filippo Romano - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Filippo Romano - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Filippo Romano - Kenny De Schepper	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW
- Yanaki Milev
ATP Challenger
21.10.26	Yanaki Milev - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
19.10.26	Yanaki Milev - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
18.10.26	Pavel Lagutin - Yanaki Milev	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Yanaki Milev - Federico Iannaccone	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Maxime Chazal - Yanaki Milev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.06.25	Filippo Romano - Yanaki Milev	2:0

Filippo Romano - Yanaki Milev