Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florence, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Florence 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Yanaki Milev		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.50	Watch
	2.43	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.45	1.56
	1.52	2.31	Watch
	2.45	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.51)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanaki Milev
41.7%

Lorenzo Giustino
58.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanaki Milev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yanaki Milev's performance.

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Giustino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

The ML Model estimate for Yanaki Milev aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Lorenzo Giustino aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Yanaki Milev - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Milev will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Giustino will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Milev is ranked ATP: 535., and Giustino is ranked ATP: 231..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Giustino could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Giustino is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Yanaki Milev - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanaki Milev
ATP Challenger
19.10.26	Yanaki Milev - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
18.10.26	Pavel Lagutin - Yanaki Milev	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Yanaki Milev - Federico Iannaccone	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Maxime Chazal - Yanaki Milev	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Francesco Passaro - Yanaki Milev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
08.10.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
06.10.26	Christian Langmo - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLW

Yanaki Milev - Lorenzo Giustino