Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florence - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Florence 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Pavel Lagutin		Yanaki Milev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.40
	1.35	2.90
	1.33	3.02	Watch
	1.26	3.80
	1.30	3.25	Watch
	1.29	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)	3.27 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Lagutin
71.6%

Yanaki Milev
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Lagutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavel Lagutin's performance.

Yanaki Milev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanaki Milev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pavel Lagutin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanaki Milev than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanaki Milev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pavel Lagutin - Yanaki Milev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lagutin is ranked ATP: 410., and Milev is ranked ATP: 619..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Milev could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Lagutin for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Lagutin
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Pavel Lagutin - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Michael Geerts - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Pavel Lagutin - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Pavel Lagutin - Ignacio Parisca	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Iliyan Radulov - Pavel Lagutin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL
- Yanaki Milev
ATP Challenger
12.10.26	Yanaki Milev - Federico Iannaccone	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Maxime Chazal - Yanaki Milev	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Francesco Passaro - Yanaki Milev	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Yanaki Milev - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Yanaki Milev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLWW

Pavel Lagutin - Yanaki Milev

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Pavel Lagutin - Yanaki Milev Predictions

Preview

Form

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