Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Dubrovnik (Croatia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dubrovnik (Croatia) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Filippo Speziali		Adam Heinonen

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Filippo Speziali
30.4%

Adam Heinonen
69.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filippo Speziali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Adam Heinonen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filippo Speziali than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Heinonen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Speziali is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Heinonen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heinonen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Heinonen is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filippo Speziali
ITF Tournaments
10.04.24	Filippo Speziali - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Filippo Speziali - Raphael Calzi	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	Karim Ibrahim - Filippo Speziali	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Gabriele Bosio - Filippo Speziali	2:0 ✺
21.02.24	Filippo Speziali - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Adam Heinonen
ITF Tournaments
21.03.24	Adam Heinonen - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Henrik Wiersholm - Adam Heinonen	1:2 ✺
15.03.24	Adam Heinonen - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
14.03.24	Adam Heinonen - Stefan Peter Hampe	Hampe S. P. retired ✺
13.03.24	Matthew Donald - Adam Heinonen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWL?W

Filippo Speziali - Adam Heinonen