Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion 7, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Heraklion 7 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Finn Murgett		Mathieu Scaglia

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Finn Murgett
66.8%

Mathieu Scaglia
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Murgett has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Mathieu Scaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Murgett than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathieu Scaglia than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Murgett is ranked ATP: 930., and Scaglia is ranked ATP: 971..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Scaglia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Murgett for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Murgett
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Menelaos Efstathiou - Finn Murgett	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Finn Murgett - Michael Agwi	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Finn Murgett	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Finn Murgett - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Finn Murgett - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL
- Mathieu Scaglia
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Henri Haupt	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Lucca Liu - Mathieu Scaglia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Pierre Antoine Tailleu - Mathieu Scaglia	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Amit Vales	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWW

Finn Murgett - Mathieu Scaglia